All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. Banjo Hitter: Projecting Mike Trouts Future - Baseball Prospectus That would still be above his career percentage of 21.5 percent and his 149 projected strikeouts would be the most he has had in a season since 2015. With worrying trends and a projection of a career-worst offensive year, is it finally time to start worrying about Mike Trout? Hmm. Everybody agreed he was an elite prospect. Mike Trout So that number above is how many "total" bases we figure he has been responsible for: everything he's generated with singles, doubles, triples and homers, but also walks, hit-by-pitches and stolen bases. But his attempt to get under the baseball leaves him more vulnerable to 4-seamers fastballs that stay up in the zone. Pujols is often cited as a mega-deal gone wrong, but he didnt sign with the Angels until he was 32. Hes pretty good, is what Im getting at. Trouts hitting the ball hard, but not to the same extent as a rocket. This is a free article. That includes modern legends such as Mike Piazza, Vladimir Guerrero, Willie Stargell and Kirby Puckett, or less-recent legends such Harmon Killebrew, Yogi Berra, Hank Greenberg, Joe Medwick or George Sisler. Trout's win probability added -- the cumulative change in the Angels' win probability before he comes to the plate and afterward -- is the third highest, through 1,000 career games, by any hitter since 1920. vs. SEA 3 AB, 0 H, 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB, Rookie Status: Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Monday, May 1, 12:21AM. To get the full benefits of numberFire, please sign up. He could hit .240 without power and he'd have had a long major league career, but instead he hits like Ted Williams and Frank Thomas. the official stats partner of the NBA, NHL and MLB. The harder and higher you hit a baseball, the more likely itll leave the park. His average season is better than the best of an inner-circle all-time great. He is tied with Babe Ruth for the most bWARs at a position player in MLB history. Why Mike Trout could create new milestone stats. 7 September 2011. Heres a spoiler: Mike Trout is no. Juan Soto, 7.02. According to ZiPS projections, Trout has an estimated 25 percent chance of breaking Bonds' WAR record, and a 10 percent chance of breaking the home runs record. His name will almost certainly be sandwiched between Rod Carew and Nolan Ryan next season. We also offer a variety of resources for baseball players, including tips on hitting, pitching, and fielding. This year, he's on pace to steal 29 without getting caught. He would need to average 130 walks per season for 14.3 more seasons to catch Bonds. Walks are not outs. PECOTA projects Trout to be the best player in baseball this year, with 8.4 Wins Above Replacement Player. Subscribe for all MLB player projections. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. In those projections, Trout is predicted to slash .271/.406/.546 with 37 home runs and 102 RBI. As we start thinking about where Trout will end up in his career, that's going to matter. Going into last preseason, a 140-game season was still a possibility, now its off the table. Also, when Trout came up, this was the scouting report: "There are fair concerns about him remaining a burner, as 220-pound 80 runners are unheard of." With the contract of superstar Shohei Ohtani coming to an end, the Angels will look to Trout for his production and leadership in what feels like a make-or-break season for the franchise. His WAR in his entire career was 162.5. 2d ago. Ruth also hit at least 16 home runs, with 21 of those coming in the league. -- Sam Miller. Uncovering The Mystery Behind The Golden Glove Award What It Takes To Receive This Prestigious Honor. That's more than these players through 1,000 games: He has a .574 slugging percentage. Baseball News, Analysis, History, Schedule, Rumors. Ive been working on an article about PECOTAs best-projected players for the next decade. Compare that to the 89 games and 387 plate appearances Trout has had combined over the last two seasons (with 25 home runs and 64 RBI during that span) and you can see that 2022 would not only be a wide jump in terms of playing time, but also production as well. Now, the game has changed in the decade-plus since Bonds' crazy peak and intentional walks aren't issued with the same overall frequency, but Trout has received just 69 intentional walks in his career. Trout is on his way to leading the American League in runs for the fifth time and that's because he gets on base a lot. He even has his own military appreciation group called Trouts Troops. Trout is a five-time All-Star, a Silver Slugger Award winner, and he has finished in the top two of AL MVP voting four times. Jayden Reed drafted well ahead of projections, selected by the Packers in the second round. If you weren't watching baseball in 2004, you wouldn't believe the numbers. The Angels got within a run on Brandon Drury's two-run homer in the bottom of the 10th and had runners on first and second with two outs, but Mike Trout hit a grounder to third that ended the game. Now, for this hitter I use a weighted average of (100/400*26.0%) + (300/400*23.9%) to find a K% of 24.4%. Mike Trout: A True Role Model | Tbones Baseball He has worn military-themed cleats and has visited military bases. Baseball Projections Yordan Alvarez, 5.69. His whiff percentage of 30.2% is the highest of his career and is mostly the result of missing more 4-seam Fastballs. Mike Trout is so good, he can turn $426.5 million into a bargain. MLB DFS: Optimal FanDuel, DraftKings picks, player pool, advice Baseball can be broken down into complex numbers and percentages but at its heart, its a very simple game. (Trout would have a career total of 135.1 WARP through age 36 if those projections prove accurate.) Trout was 19 years old when he broke into the big leagues on July 8, 2011, with the Los Angeles Angels. If you enjoyed it, consider subscribing to Baseball Prospectus. Mike Trout That is 22 higher than what Shohei Ohtani (147) is projected to produce in the same simulation. . Do you have a sports website? WebMike Trout Position: Centerfielder Bats: Right Throws: Right 6-2 , 235lb (188cm, 106kg) Team: Los Angeles Angels (majors) More bio, uniform, draft, salary info 3x MVP Rookie of the Year 10x All-Star 9x Silver Slugger 2x AS MVP ML PoY Wilson Overall Def Player 27 Become a Stathead & surf this site ad-free. This approach of hitting the ball hard and in the air, however, negatively impacted other aspects of his offensive production. Wander Franco, 5.6T6. And he is only getting better. This effort was successful and led to a career-high 44.7% fly ball rate while simultaneously leading to a career-low 25% ground ball rate. Javascript is required for the selection of a player. The explanation as to why Trout hit so many home runs is easy. SNY. Find out more. Los Angeles Angels news fromFanSided Daily, Pittsburgh Pirates: Gregory Polanco to sign with Yomiuri Giants. -- David Schoenfield. Ten years ago Thursday, Mike Trout got his second call to the majors. WebMike Trout was born on Wednesday, August 7, 1991, in Vineland, New Jersey. Indeed, he has 13 "streaks" of two games without reaching base, and in the 13 games following them he has hit .326/.412/.558. Mookie Betts, 5.9T4. Rose actually got more hits in his next thousand games than his first thousand -- 1,289. The Angels are expected to earn $540 million in franchise revenue during the 12-year contract period, which is expected to pay him more than any other athlete. Hmm. us. ); Mussina has a WAR of 81.2, which is higher than that of Trout, who has a WAR of 70.3. MLB DFS: Optimal FanDuel, DraftKings picks, player pool, advice Trout is an above-average defensive center fielder. PECOTA projects Trout to be the best player in baseball this year, with 8.4 Wins Above Replacement Player. WebSee which player would win in a trade View Trade Analyzer. Willie Mays had three streaks of at least three goose eggs during his first 1,000 games played, Barry Bonds had a streak of four and three threes, Ken Griffey Jr. had a four and a three, and even Ted Williams -- the most precocious on-base machine in history -- airballed three straight games in 1939, when he was 20. His father was a Marine and served in the Gulf War. It is estimated that he will have a long and prosperous career in the major leagues. To put that in some context, consider that Ken Griffey Jr.a first-ballot Hall of Famer and undoubtedly one of the greatest center fielders of all timetotaled exactly 80.3 WARP for his entire 22-year career. His 12.5 WAR in 2019 was the highest single-season WAR by any position player in baseball history. How Mike Trout stacks up to MLB's greats over his first 1,000 games, Harper may return Tue., 160 days post-TJ surgery, Rangers ace deGrom 'frustrated' to land on IL, Twins will shut P Mahle down for at least 4 weeks, Cards broadcaster, 2-time champ Shannon dies, Giants' Yastrzemski (hamstring) likely IL-bound, Yankees to evaluate Judge's hip strain Monday, Mexico City's uphill climb toward landing an MLB franchise. ! making a donation to Baseball Almanac : SUMMARY 2023 Career WAR 0.9 83.3 AB 76 SNY. He followed the recipe. Total Zone Rating and initial framework for Wins above Replacement calculations provided by Sean Smith. Lets take a look at three different projections of the statistics the 30-year-old Trout could put up next season for the Angels. That would leave him 1,856 walks short of Bonds' record of 2,558. Less conservative estimates and/or factoring in inflation over the span of 12 years would bring the value closer to $1 billion. Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels, CF - Career Stats - MLB That same year, he was named the American League's Most Valuable Player. Mike Trout is a professional baseball player who has played in the Major League Baseball (MLB) since 2011. Trout, on the other hand, will be regarded as one of the games all-time great players as long as he keeps producing at anMVP level. He already has as much or more WAR than 74 position-player Hall of Famers and more than 56 modern-era Hall of Fame players at any non-pitcher position. })(); Designed by Elegant Themes | Powered by WordPress, Just Starting Out Playing Baseball? Pete Rose, the all-time hits leader, was at 1,231 hits through 1,000 career games, so in theory Trout isn't too far behind Rose. Nobody has ever done that, but then, nobody has ever had more home runs and steals through 1,000 games than Trout. According to the most recent ESPN.com ranking of the top 100 MLB players of all time, Mike Trout is the 15th best player in the history of the game. And then Trout becomes a free agent and all hell breaks loose. But watching Trout was like watching a massive Mercedes with a big engine under the hood. Team: Los Angeles Angels (majors) Born: August 7, 1991 in Vineland, NJ us Draft: Drafted by the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim in the 1st round (25th) of the 2009 MLB June Amateur Draft from Millville Senior HS (Millville, NJ).. High School: Millville Senior HS Mike Trout-signed Little League ball sold for $15,000, Ward, Trout, Ohtani hit 3 straight HRs in victory, Study: MLB average salary up 11% YOY to $4.9M. However, Trout is anticipating he will be fully healthy by the time 2022 spring training begins as he begins a quest to get the Los Angeles Angels to the postseason and earn his fourth American League MVP honor. Adley Rutchman, 5.9T6. That's Trout's career walks total. What's most interesting is the Angels have never had a longtime superstar position player. The 29-year-old also possesses excellent defensive skills, earning a Gold Glove award in each of the previous two seasons. I think it is, without doing any actual research, and just thinking on it for seven seconds. The reason for these grim projections is mostly the result of worrying trends in Trouts hitting approach in 2022. In his free time, Ryan pitches for his college club baseball team and enjoys a good movie. Mike Trout Throughout his career, he has averaged a WAR of 9.6 and a offensive winning percentage of. In 2012, Mike Trout became the youngest player in MLB history to be unanimously voted American League Rookie of the Year. He looked like a power hitter, but when you pulled out the stopwatch, you realized he was faster than all those Ferraris." At the age of 31, hes already within the top 60 of career leaders in WAR.